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A=>2=K5 E0@0:B5@8AB8:8 B5E=8G5A:8E A@54AB2 ?@>2>4=>9 A2O78: 0) ?C;LB >?5@0B82=>9 A2O78 B8?0 !-90: 2 ?C;LB0 C?@02;5=8O; 90 ?@O<KE ;8=89; 2 ;8=88 2K45;5==KE 01>=5=B>2; 10 A>548=8B5;L=KE ;8=89 4;O A2O78 A> A?5FA;C610<8; 10 2E>4OI8E A?5F;8=89  01 ; 1) AB0=F88 >?5@0B82=>9 A2O78 B8?0 !!  : 1 ?C;LB C?@02;5=8O; 30 ?@O<KE ;8=89; 2 ;8=88 2K45;5==KE 01>=5=B>2; 10 A>548=8B5;L=KE ;8=89 4;O A2O78 A> A?5FA;C610<8; 10 2E>4OI8E A?5F;8=89  01 ; 2) B5;5D>==K5 0??0@0BK "-  ?@54=07=0G5= 4;O 2:;NG5=8O 2 01>=5=BA:85 ;8=88 "!, 8<55B :=>?>G=K9 =><5@>=018@0B5;L; A=>2=K5 E0@0:B5@8AB8:8 B5E=8G5A:8E A@54AB2 @048>A2O78: 0) AB0F8>=0@=0O F5=B@0;L=0O "8>;0-&" : <>I=>ABL ?5@540BG8:0 30 B (10 B  ?5@5:;NG5=85 BC<1;5@><); 40 :0=0;>2; @07=>A G0AB>B <564C A>A54=8<8 :0=0;0<8 25 :F; 1) 2>78<K5: 02B><>18;L=0O "8>;0-", 4;O CAB0=>2:8 =0 ?>60@=>< 02B><>18;5 "8>;0-" 8 AB0F8>=0@=0O "8>;0-!" : <>I=>ABL ?5@540BG8:0 10 B; `v  " $ & * , < D H \ d l ƾ|qfqfqfq]TKTET hCJhh5CCJhh_rCJhhc*CJhh5COJQJhh_rOJQJhh_r6hhir6hh_r56CJhh_r56CJ0OJQJhh_r5CJhhir5CJaJhhir5hh_rmHsHhhirmHsHhh(NtCJaJhh_r5mHsHhh(Nt5mHsH`v  H $H^Ha$gdc*$a$gd $^a$gdc*$a$gdir$a$gdir$a$gd(Nt     . t " r $a$ $ ^ a$gdc*$a$gdc* $H^Ha$gdc*       . 0 L N BDxz|468<> żzjjh5Ch_rUaJj}h5Ch_rUaJ hwaJjh5Ch_rUaJjh5Ch_rUaJh5Ch_raJ hwCJ hhc*CJ hh_rCJ hh5COJQJhh_rOJQJhh_r5CJhh_rCJhhc*CJ% D rX@.rb ^` 24FHdf"$&*,02fhjnpBDxz|yjh5Ch_rUaJjkh5Ch_rUaJjh5Ch_rUaJjqh5Ch_rUaJjh5Ch_rUaJ hwaJjwh5Ch_rUaJjh5Ch_rUaJh5Ch_raJh5Ch_rH*aJ/ "VXZ^`xz hj   sgsggh5Ch_rCJH*aJh5Ch_r6CJaJh5Ch_r6CJaJmH sH h5Ch_rCJaJmH sH h5Ch_r5CJaJh5Ch_rCJaJjh5Ch_rCJUaJjh5Ch_rUaJ hwaJjeh5Ch_rUaJjh5Ch_rUaJh5Ch_raJ%"$|$a$ *R,R&tH `!!""r##X`XXd`XXd`X^dd<>@BFprRTt8 : ""<#>###$$$$襙|ppbph5Ch_r5CJNHaJh5Ch_r5CJaJh5Ch_rCJOJQJaJh5Ch_r6CJH*aJh5Ch_rCJH*aJh5Ch_rCJaJmH sH h5Ch_r6CJaJh5Ch_r6:CJaJh5Ch_r:CJH*aJh5Ch_r:CJaJh5Ch_rCJaJh5Ch_rCJNHaJ&#$$$$@*,02222B3t44D556.77p899p::d$a$$a$$`a$$a$ & F&$T&V&b,d,,,6/8///\0^011(2*22@333t4466:6;8;;;<<>>r?t?~AARBTBBBlDnDDTEjFlFFFGGHHHHJJ:KtKvKK4L6LLLMMOO̽ܯh5Ch_r5CJNHaJh5Ch_rCJOJQJaJh5Ch_r6CJOJQJaJh5Ch_r5CJaJh5Ch_rCJNHaJh5Ch_rCJaJE:8;=>|??@A~AABbCC~DDDDDVEF:Kdd$a$Dd`DD`Dd$a$dd $^a$:KKNO PR`RTU VWWWW W WWWZZ<[d$a$ Dd`D$`a$$`a$ $0d`0a$0d`0 0d`0$da$OOP.Q0QQQ RNRPR^RTTVVW W WWWXXXXYY6Z8ZZ[\ ]^^$____T`V`\a^aadƾyyywyUh5Ch_rCJOJQJaJ(jh5Ch_rCJUaJmHnHu+jh5Ch_r5CJUaJmHnHuh5Ch5CCJaJh_rCJaJh5CCJaJh5Ch_r5CJNHaJh5Ch_rCJNHaJh5Ch_r5CJaJh5Ch_rCJaJ.<[[[[\z\\ ]4]V]]]0^"_$___b`z``aav $R^R`a$$`a$$ & F3^3`a$d40 :0=0;>2; @07=>A G0AB>B <564C A>A54=8<8 :0=0;0<8 25 :F. 2) =>A8<K5: "8>;0-": <>I=>ABL ?5@540BG8:0 1 B; 4 :0=0;0; @07=>A G0AB>B <564C A>A54=8<8 :0=0;0<8 25 :F. 5@5G5=L B5E=8G5A:8E A@54AB2, =5>1E>48<KE 4;O >@30=870F88 A8AB5<K >?5@0B82=>9 A2O78 30@=87>=0 , ?@82545= 2 B01;. 1. "01;8F0 1. 5@5G5=L B5E=8G5A:8E A@54AB2 A2O78 1>@C4>20=85>;-2>, HB.@8<5G0=85!B0=F8O >?5@0B82=>9 A2O78 B8?0 !-90 (=0 &#!!)3<55B 2 ?C;LB0 C?@02;5=8O 8 90 ;8=89 ?@O<KE 01>=5=B>2!B0=F8O >?5@0B82=>9 A2O78 B8?0 !!- (2 ?>60@=KE G0ABOE)10<55B 1 ?C;LB 8 30 ?@O<KE ;8=89"5;5D>==K9 0??0@0B B8?0 "-65<55B :=>?>G=K9 =><5@>=018@0B5;L03=8B>D>= 8-:0=0;L=L9 B8?0 (% -2081 0AAG8B0= =0 24 G =5?@5@K2=>9 @01>BK"5;53@0D=K9 0??0@0B B8?0 "-803 C;>==K9 B5;53@0D=K9 0??0@0B A> A:>@>ABLN ?5@540G8 7=0:>2 80 >4 048>AB0=F8O AB0F8>=0@=0O B8?0 "8>;0-&"1#AB0=02;8205BAO =0 &#! 048>AB0=F8O AB0F8>=0@=0O B8?0 "8>;0-!"11 048>AB0=F8O 2>78<0O B8?0 "8>;0-"11 048>AB0=F8O 2>78<0O B8?0 "8>;0-"33#AB0=02;8205BAO =0 >A=>2=KE ?>60@=KE 02B><>18;OE 048>AB0=F8O =>A8<0O B8?0 "8>;0-"66C;LB B@52>6=>9 A83=0;870F88 8 >?>25I5=8O "!-1011!5BL @0A?>@O48B5;L=>-?>8A:>2>9 A2O78. &5=B@0;L=K9 CA8;8B5;L B8?0 T#-6001>I=>ABL CA8;8B5;O >B 100 4> 1000 B. 48= CA8;8B5;L @575@2=K9 "#-100@><:>3>2>@8B5;L66"8? 25  -I#-5 - 24 HB., 10  -I#-5 - 48 HB??0@0BC@0 D0:A8<8;L=>9 A2O7813SONY 3. 07@01>B:0 AB@C:BC@=>9 AE5<K 8 @0AG5B >A=>2=KE E0@0:B5@8AB8: A8AB5<K >?5@0B82=>9 A2O78 30@=87>=0 ?>60@=>9 >E@0=K. 3.1. 0AG5B >A=>2=KE E0@0:B5@8AB8: A8AB5<K >?5@0B82=>9 A2O78 3.1.1. 0AG5B E0@0:B5@8AB8: CAB>9G82>AB8 A8AB5<K >?5@0B82=>9 A2O78 #AB>9G82>ABL A8AB5<K A2O78, A>AB>OI59 87 n :0=0;>2 A2O78 (=0?@8<5@, 87 >4=>3> >A=>2=>3> 8 =5A:>;L:8E @575@2=KE), E0@0:B5@87C5BAO 25@>OB=>ABLN 55 157>B:07=>9 @01>BK:  EMBED Equation.3  (2.1) 345  EMBED Equation.3 - 25@>OB=>ABL 157>B:07=>9 @01>BK i-3> :0=0;0 A2O78;  - 8=B5=A82=>ABL ?>2@5645=8O :0=0;0 A2O78; t - 2@5<O @01>BK :0=0;0 A2O78. #AB>9G82>ABL A8AB5<K >?5@0B82=>9 A2O78, A>AB>OI59 87 42CE :0=0;>2 A2O78 (>A=>2=>3> 8 @575@2=>3>), >F5=8205BAO A;54CNI59 25@>OB=>ABLN 157>B:07=>9 @01>BK ?@8 7040==KE P1, P2: P2 (t) = 1  [ (1 - P1) " (1- P2)] = 1  [ (1- 0,99) " (1-0,9)] = 1  [ 0,01" 0,1] = 0,999 "0:8< >1@07><, 2 @57C;LB0B5 @575@28@>20=8O >A=>2=>3> :0=0;0 A2O78 CAB>9G82>ABL A8AB5<K >?5@0B82=>9 A2O78 2 F5;>< ?>2KH05BAO =0 25;8G8=C P2 (t)  P1 = 0,999 - 0,99 = 0,009. 3.1.1. ?B8<870F8O A5B59 A?5FA2O78 ?> ;8=8O<  01 8 @0AG5B 55 ?@>?CA:=>9 A?>A>1=>AB8 ?B8<870F8O A5B8 A?5FA2O78 A2>48BAO : =0E>645=8N B0:>3> G8A;0 ;8=89 A2O78 "01" 8 48A?5BG5@>2, ?@8 :>B>@KE >15A?5G820NBAO 7040==0O 25@>OB=>ABL ?>B5@8 2K7>20 8 =5>1E>48<0O ?@>?CA:=0O A?>A>1=>ABL A5B8 A?5FA2O78. >A;54>20B5;L=> C25;8G820O G8A;> ;8=89 A2O78 A 1 4> ?, =0E>48< B0:>5 G8A;> ;8=89 A2O78, ?@8 :>B>@>< 2K?>;=O5BAO CA;>285 >B: d"  03@C7:0, A>740205<0O 2 A5B8 A?5FA2O78, <>65B 1KBL ?@54AB02;5=0 :0: y =  "Tn = 0,16 " 0,9 = 0,144 <8=-70=.  >1I5< 2845 25@>OB=>ABL B>3>, GB> 2A5 ;8=88 A2O78 A2>1>4=K, >?@545;O5BAO ?> D>@<C;5:  EMBED Equation.3  (2.2) 345 k - ?>A;54>20B5;L=>ABL F5;KE G8A5;, k = 0, 1,2,...,n.  >1I5< 2845 25@>OB=>ABL B>3>, GB> 2A5 ? ;8=89 A2O78 1C4CB 70=OBK (B.5. 25@>OB=>ABL >B:070 2 >1A;C6820=88), >?@545;O5BAO :0::  EMBED Equation.3  (2.3) ;O A;CG0O, :>340 ? = 1, 25@>OB=>ABL B>3>, GB> ;8=8O A2O78 1C45B A2>1>4=0,  EMBED Equation.3  ;O A;CG0O, :>340 ? = 1, 25@>OB=>ABL >B:070 2 >1A;C6820=88  EMBED Equation.3  !@02=820O ?>;CG5==>5 7=0G5=85 P>B:1 8 7040==>5 7=0G5=85 25@>OB=>AB8 ?>B5@8 2K7>20 P = 0,001, ?@8E>48< : 2K2>4C, GB> CA;>285 P>B:1 d" P =5 A>1;N405BAO. >MB><C C25;8G8205< G8A;> ;8=89 A2O78 4> n = 2. @8 MB>< 25@>OB=>ABL B>3>, GB> 425 ;8=88 A2O78 1C4CB A2>1>4=K,  EMBED Equation.3  5@>OB=>ABL >B:070 ?@8 MB>< >?@545;O5BAO :0:  EMBED Equation.3  !@02=820O ?>;CG5==>5 7=0G5=85 P>B:2 8 7040==>5 7=0G5=85 25@>OB=>AB8 ?>B5@8 2K7>20 P = 0,001, ?@8E>48< : 2K2>4C, GB> CA;>285 P>B:2 d" P =5 A>1;N405BAO. >MB><C C25;8G8205< G8A;> ;8=89 A2O78 4> n = 3. @8 MB>< 25@>OB=>ABL B>3>, GB> B@8 ;8=88 A2O78 1C4CB A2>1>4=K,  EMBED Equation.3  5@>OB=>ABL >B:070 ?@8 MB>< >?@545;O5BAO :0:  EMBED Equation.3  !@02=820O ?>;CG5==>5 7=0G5=85 P>B:3 8 7040==>5 7=0G5=85 25@>OB=>AB8 ?>B5@8 2K7>20 P, ?@8E>48< : 2K2>4C, GB> ?@8 B@5E ;8=8OE A2O78 CA;>285 P>B:3 d" P A>1;N405BAO, B.5. P>B:3 = 0,00007 < P = 0,001. "0:8< >1@07><, ?@8=8<05< n = 3. 5@>OB=>ABL B>3>, GB> 2K7>2 1C45B ?@8=OB =0 >1A;C6820=85 (>B=>A8B5;L=0O ?@>?CA:=0O A?>A>1=>ABL A5B8 A?5FA2O78), >?@545;O5BAO :0: P01A = 1   P>B:4 = 1  0,00007 = 0,99993. "0:8< >1@07><, 2 CAB0=>282H5<AO @568<5 2 A5B8 A?5FA2O78 1C45B >1A;C65=> 99,9 % ?>ABC?82H8E ?> ;8=8O< A2O78 "01 " 2K7>2>2. 1A>;NB=0O ?@>?CA:=0O A?>A>1=>ABL A5B8 A?5FA2O78 >?@545;O5BAO 2K@065=85< A =  " P01A = 0,16 " 0,99993 = 0,1599 B.5. A5BL A?5FA2O78 A?>A>1=0 >ACI5AB28BL 2 A@54=5< 0,1599 @073>2>@0 2 <8=CBC. 0E>48< A@54=55 G8A;> 70=OBKE ;8=89 A2O78: n7 = y " (1   P>B:4) = 0,144 " (1  0,00007) = 0,1439 "0:8< >1@07><, ?@8 CAB0=>282H5<AO @568<5 @01>BK A5B8 A?5FA2O78 1C45B 70=OB0 ;8HL >4=0 ;8=8O A2O78, >AB0;L=K5 1C4CB ?@>AB0820BL, B.5. 4>AB8305BAO 2KA>:89 C@>25=L MDD5:B82=>AB8 >1A;C6820=8O  99,69 % 2A5E ?>ABC?82H8E 2K7>2>2. >MDD8F85=B 70=OB>AB8 ;8=89 A2O78 7 = n7 / n = 0,1439 / 3 = 0,0479. ?@545;O5< A@54=55 G8A;> A2>1>4=KE ;8=89 A2O78:  EMBED Equation.3  >MDD8F85=B ?@>AB>O ;8=89 A?5FA2O78 K? = n0 / n = 0,4739 / 3 = 0,1579 $0:B8G5A:0O ?@>?CA:=0O A?>A>1=>ABL A5B8 A?5FA2O78 ?> ;8=8O< "01" A CG5B>< 0??0@0BC@=>9 =0456=>AB8: qD = (1   P>B:4) " K3 = 0,99993 " 0,92 = 0,9199 5>1E>48<>5 G8A;> ;8=89 A2O78 A CG5B>< 0??0@0BC@=>9 =0456=>AB8: nD = n / K3 = 3 / 0,92 = 3,26 H" 4 @5<O 70=OB>AB8 48A?5BG5@0 >1A;C6820=85< >4=>3> 2K7>20 T>1A2 = Tn + T>1A1 = 0,7 +1,45 = 2,15 <8= = 0,03583 G 345 Tn - 7040==0O 25;8G8=0 2@5<5=8 >4=>3> "G8AB>3>" ?5@53>2>@0 48A?5BG5@0 A 2K7K20NI8< 01>=5=B><; T>1A1 - 2@5<O 70=OB>AB8 48A?5BG5@0 >1@01>B:>9 ?@8=OB>3> 2K7>20 (70?8AL ?>ABC?82H53> 2K7>20 2 6C@=0;5 @538AB@0F88 8 B.?.). > 7040==>9 8=B5=A82=>AB8 2E>4=>3> ?>B>:0 2K7>2>2  = 0,16 2K7./<8=, ?>ABC?0NI8E 2 A5BL A?5FA2O78, 8 2@5<5=8 >1A;C6820=8O >4=>3> 2K7>20 48A?5BG5@>< T>1A2 = 0,03583 G >?@545;8< ?>;=CN =03@C7:C =0 2A5E 48A?5BG5@>2 70 A<5=C, B.5. 70 24 G: y4 = 24 "  " T>1A2 = 24 " 60 " 0,16 " 0,03583 = 8,2552 G-70=, 345 60 - :>;8G5AB2> <8=CB 2 1 G (?@8 ?5@52>45  2 2K7./G). >?CAB8<0O =03@C7:0 =0 >4=>3> 48A?5BG5@0 70 A<5=C A CG5B>< :>MDD8F85=B0 70=OB>AB8 48A?5BG5@0: y14>? = K4 " y1<0:A = 0,9 " 24 = 21,6 G-70=. ?@545;8< =5>1E>48<>5 G8A;> 48A?5BG5@>2: n4 = y4 / y14>? = 8,2552 / 21,6 = 0,382 H" 1 :@C3;OO @57C;LB0B, >?@545;O5<: >48= 48A?5BG5@. "0:8< >1@07><, ?> @57C;LB0B0< >?B8<870F88 A5B8 A?5FA2O78 >?@545;5=>, GB> =5>1E>48<> 8<5BL 3 ;8=88 A2O78  01 8 >4=>3> 48A?5BG5@0. 3.2. 0AG5B E0@0:B5@8AB8: >?5@0B82=>AB8 8 MDD5:B82=>AB8 DC=:F8>=8@>20=8O @048>A2O78 8 >15A?5G5=8O B@51C5<>9 40;L=>AB8 @048>A2O78 3.2.1. 0AG5B :>;8G5AB25==KE ?>:070B5;59 >?5@0B82=>AB8 8 MDD5:B82=>AB8 ?5@0B82=>ABL @048>A2O78 E0@0:B5@87C5BAO 25@>OB=>ABLN B>3>, GB> 8=D>@<0F8O >B >4=>3> 01>=5=B0 : 4@C3><C 1C45B ?5@540=0 2 B5G5=85 2@5<5=8, =5 1>;55 7040==>3>: Q = P [ (Tn + T=) d" T>?] (2.4) 345 Tn - 2@5<O "G8AB>3>" ?5@53>2>@0; T= - =5?@>872>48B5;L=K5 70B@0BK 2@5<5=8 =0 =01>@ =><5@0 01>=5=B0, ?>AK;:C 2K7>20 8 B.?.; T>? - 7040==0O 25;8G8=0 2@5<5=8, >?@545;ONI0O >?5@0B82=>ABL A2O78 (:@8B5@89 >?5@0B82=>AB8).  A;CG05, :>340 =0456=>ABL 8 :0G5AB2> @048>:0=0;0 8450;L=K, >?5@0B82=>ABL @048>A2O78 >F5=8205BAO ?> D>@<C;5: Q = P0 + P1 (2.5) 345 P0 - 25@>OB=>ABL B>3>, GB> @048>:0=0; A2>1>45=; P1- 25@>OB=>ABL B>3>, GB> @048>:0=0; 70=OB, => >6840NI8E =5B. 5@>OB=>AB8 A>AB>O=89 A5B8 @048>A2O78 P0 8 P1 @0AAG8BK20NBAO ?> D>@<C;0<:  EMBED Equation.3  (2.6);  EMBED Equation.3  (2.7) 345 N - G8A;> @048>AB0=F89 2 A5B8 @048>A2O78 (G8A;> 01>=5=B>2 2 @048>A5B8); y0 - =03@C7:0 2 A5B8 @048>A2O78; k - ?>A;54>20B5;L=>ABL G8A5; k = 0, 1, 2..., N.  EMBED Equation.3   A;CG05, :>340 =0456=>ABL 8 :0G5AB2> @048>:0=0;0 8450;L=K, MDD5:B82=>ABL DC=:F8>=8@>20=8O @048>A5B8 >F5=8205BAO ?> A;54CNI59 D>@<C;5:  EMBED Equation.3  (2.8) 345 Tn,T=  A>>B25BAB25==> 2@5<O ?5@53>2>@0 8 =5?@>872>48B5;L=K5 70B@0BK 2@5<5=8 2 @048>A5B8. -DD5:B82=>ABL DC=:F8>=8@>20=8O @048>A5B8 <>65B 1KBL >F5=5=0 <0B5<0B8G5A:8< >6840=85< A;CG09=>9 25;8G8=K 55 A>AB>O=8O , :>B>@>5 O2;O5BAO ?>:070B5;5< F5;5A>>1@07=>AB8 8A?>;L7>20=8O @048>A5B8 4;O 2K?>;=5=8O 7040==KE DC=:F89.  EMBED Equation.3  3.2.2. ?@545;5=85 =5>1E>48<KE 2KA>B ?>4J5<0 0=B5== AB0F8>=0@=KE @048>AB0=F89 ?@545;5=85 40;L=>AB8 @048>A2O78 =5>1E>48<> ?@>2>48BL 8AE>4O 87 <8=8<0;L=>3> 7=0G5=8O =0?@O65==>AB8 ?>;O A CG5B>< 2;8O=8O @5;L5D0 <5AB=>AB8, 2KE>4=>9 <>I=>AB8 ?5@540BG8:0, 70BCE0=8O 0=B5==>-D845@=KE B@0:B>2 ?5@540BG8:0 (1l1) 8 ?@85<=8:0 (2l2) :>MDD8F85=B>2 CA8;5=8O ?5@540NI59 (G1) 8 ?@85<=>9 (G2) 0=B5==, 25;8G8=K ?@52KH5=8O 4>?CAB8<>3> C@>2=O <5H0NI53> A83=0;0 (E4>?) "0:8< >1@07><, A CG5B>< 2KH587;>65==>3>, 25;8G8=0 =0?@O65==>AB8 ?>;O ?>;57=>3> A83=0;0 >?@545;O5BAO ?> D>@<C;5: En = E<8= + >A; - < + 1l1  G1 + 2l2  G2 + E4>? = 20 + 9 - 0 + 0,15"9  1,5 + 0,15"4  1,5 + 2 = 29,95 4 345 1 = 2 = 0,15 4/< - :>MDD8F85=B ?>3>==>3> 70BCE0=8O D845@=>3> B@0:B0 ?5@540BG8:0 8 ?@85<=8:0 A>>B25BAB25==>; l1 8 l2 - 4;8=0 D845@=>3> B@0:B0 ?5@540BG8:0 @048>AB0=F88 &#!! 8 ?@85<=8:0 @048>AB0=F88 ' A>>B25BAB25==>, <, G1 = G2 = 1,5 4 - :>MDD8F85=B CA8;5=8O 0=B5== ?5@540BG8:0 8 ?@85<=8:0 A>>B25BAB25==>; < - ?>?@02>G=K9 :>MDD8F85=B, 25;8G8=0 :>B>@>3> ?@8=8<05BAO @02=>9 0 4 2 A;CG05 8A?>;L7>20=8O @048>AB0=F89 B8?0 "8>;0", 8<5NI8E <>I=>ABL 87;CG5=8O ?5@540BG8:0 ?5@ = 10 B. > ?>;CG5==>9 25;8G8=5 =0?@O65==>AB8 ?>;O ?>;57=>3> A83=0;0 =0 2E>45 ?@85<=8:0 En= 29,95 4 8 7040==><C C40;5=8N ' >B &#!! (7040==>9 40;L=>AB8 @048>A2O78) = 16 :< A ?><>ILN 3@0D8:>2 >?@545;O5BAO ?@>872545=85 2KA>B 0=B5== h1 " h2 = 50 <2. 7 ?>;CG5==>3> ?@>872545=8O 2KA>B 2K18@0NBAO =5>1E>48<K5 2KA>BK AB0F8>=0@=KE 0=B5== &#!! h1 = 10 < 8 C40;5==>9 ' h2 = 5 <. " "#  (0@>20@ $.., K:>2 .. 5B>48G5A:85 C:070=8O 8 :>=B@>;L=K5 7040=8O =0 @0AG5B=>-3@0D8G5A:85 @01>BK ?> :C@AC "2B><0B878@>20==K5 A8AB5<K C?@02;5=8O 8 A2O7L" ($) - .: "(  !!! , 1986. 59<0= .. "5>@5B8G5A:85 >A=>2K 548=>9 02B><0B878@>20==>9 A5B8 A2O78. -.: 0C:0, 1994. K:>2 .. 5B>48G5A:85 C:070=8O ?> @0AG5BC A8AB5<K @048>A2O78. - .: "@0=A?>@B, 1977.      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